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		<title>Drought on Clusters and Climate</title>
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				<title>Super El Niño 2026: Why the Positive Indian Ocean Dipole Offers Hope Against Drought</title>
				<link>https://clustersandclimate.com/climate/2026-04-13-super-el-nino-positive-iod-forecast/</link>
				<pubDate>Mon, 13 Apr 2026 00:00:00 +0530</pubDate>
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				<description>&lt;h2 id=&#34;introduction&#34;&gt;Introduction&lt;/h2&gt;&#xA;&lt;p&gt;Climate forecasters worldwide are closely monitoring oceanic conditions as multiple climate models indicate the development of what could be a &amp;ldquo;Super El Niño&amp;rdquo; event in 2026. Historically, such strong El Niño events have been associated with reduced monsoon rainfall over parts of the Indian subcontinent—typically 10-20% below normal—with regional variations in drought impacts. However, this time there&amp;rsquo;s a crucial difference: concurrent forecasts show a strong positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) developing simultaneously, which could significantly buffer India against the typical El Niño-induced rainfall reductions.&lt;/p&gt;</description>
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